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<item><title>Local AI News 2</title><link>http://xed.ch/blog/2026/0513.html</link><guid>http://xed.ch/blog/2026/0513.html</guid><pubDate>Wed, 13 May 2026 21:10 EDT</pubDate><description>&lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;Nearly two years ago I had &lt;a href=&quot;https://xed.ch/b/2024/0713.html&quot;&gt;a Local AI News post&lt;/a&gt; where I explored a &lt;em&gt;local&lt;/em&gt; instance of modern AI magic. In that case I was weirdly able to get a locally hosted system that generated &lt;em&gt;images&lt;/em&gt; with no corporate entanglements or network interaction at all.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;Here is a nice example of &lt;a href=&quot;https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geralt_of_Rivia&quot;&gt;Geralt of Rivia&lt;/a&gt; walking his dog at the mall.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span class=&quot;image&quot;&gt; &lt;img src=&quot;http://xed.ch/blog/2024/i/0713-c7f4-geralt_walks_dog.png&quot; alt=&quot;AI Geralt&quot; /&gt; &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;I say weirdly because I would have thought it would have been easier to get a simple chatbot working before image generation. But maybe it&amp;#8217;s not so simple.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;Today I was working on a C project and I needed some difficult-to-parse example C code. I immediately thought of &lt;a href=&quot;https://www.ioccc.org/&quot;&gt;The International Obfuscated C Code Contest&lt;/a&gt;. Here is &lt;a href=&quot;https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Obfuscated_C_Code_Contest&quot;&gt;its Wikipedia entry&lt;/a&gt;. The IOCCC is simply wonderful! I spent much of the day being delighted by the latest entries. Seriously, it restored my faith that computer programming is something that smart people sometimes do.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;The one entry that stood out and prompted this post was an astonishing complete implementation of a modern LLM chatbot &lt;strong&gt;in only 1752 bytes&lt;/strong&gt;. It is by British-American nerd &lt;a href=&quot;https://www.linkedin.com/in/adrian-cable-91730221&quot;&gt;Adrian Cable&lt;/a&gt;. Here is the project&amp;#8217;s &lt;a href=&quot;https://www.ioccc.org/2024/cable1/index.html&quot;&gt;official contest webpage&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;Obviously this is not including the trained model. It is however all the software necessary to negotiate with a local instance of a trained model to effect a passable chatbot. It&amp;#8217;s quite incredible really.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;Here is an image of what &lt;a href=&quot;https://github.com/ioccc-src/winner/blob/master/2024/cable1/prog.orig.c&quot;&gt;this program&amp;#8217;s C source code&lt;/a&gt; looks like in my editor.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span class=&quot;image&quot;&gt; &lt;img src=&quot;http://xed.ch/blog/2026/i/0513-6584-source.png&quot; alt=&quot;source.png&quot; /&gt; &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;It&amp;#8217;s kind of a shame this is the &lt;em&gt;obfuscated&lt;/em&gt; version of this project, but fear not! The prototype is a project by&amp;#8201;&amp;#8212;&amp;#8201;who else?&amp;#8201;&amp;#8212;&amp;#8201;&lt;a href=&quot;https://karpathy.ai/&quot;&gt;Karpathy&lt;/a&gt; which you can find &lt;a href=&quot;https://github.com/karpathy/llama2.c&quot;&gt;here&lt;/a&gt;. Looking at Karpathy&amp;#8217;s 1000 &lt;em&gt;line&lt;/em&gt; version (&lt;a href=&quot;https://github.com/karpathy/llama2.c/blob/master/run.c&quot;&gt;here&lt;/a&gt;) you can really appreciate Adrian&amp;#8217;s impressive talent&amp;#8201;&amp;#8212;&amp;#8201;and Andrej&amp;#8217;s of course.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;Here are some impressive words about the project from the contest entry.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;listingblock&quot;&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;content&quot;&gt; &lt;pre&gt;&lt;code&gt;ChatIOCCC is the world&apos;s smallest LLM (large language model) inference engine - a &quot;generative AI chatbot&quot; in plain-speak. ChatIOCCC runs a modern open-source model (Meta&apos;s LLaMA 2 with 7 billion parameters) and has a good knowledge of the world, can understand and speak multiple languages, write code, and many other things. Aside from the model weights, it has no external dependencies and will run on any 64-bit platform with enough RAM. LLM inference engines are extremely complex, incorporating a tokenizer (SentencePiece or byte-pair encoding), embedding layer, transformer layers (including multi-head self-attention, feed-forward neural network, activation, layer norm and residual connections), key/value caching for performance, output projection, decoding, and a state machine to control the data flow. Implementing all of that machinery, with no external dependencies, generally takes thousands or tens of thousands of lines of code. ChatIOCCC is a full LLM implementation in under 1800 bytes of C, and even supports UTF-8/Unicode input and output and parallel processing over multiple CPU cores via OpenMP.&lt;/code&gt;&lt;/pre&gt; &lt;/div&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;The trained model is Meta&amp;#8217;s open source &lt;code&gt;llama2-7b-chat&lt;/code&gt; model. The author provides a helpful script to painlessly acquire it and on my Linux system it clocked in at 6.7GB, about the size of a modest Steam game.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;Once I had the model downloaded, the program compiled in the simple way good C programs do&amp;#8201;&amp;#8212;&amp;#8201;specifically in 214ms in this case. There are some fun overlays, but since I was after a normal chatbot, I focused on that.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;One of the most interesting things about playing with a local model is you can get a much better feel for what people are talking about when they say LLMs need a lot of power. When the program was running and generating answers, it would light up all 20 of my CPU cores to 100% the entire time.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span class=&quot;image&quot;&gt; &lt;img src=&quot;http://xed.ch/blog/2026/i/0513-8378-maxedout.png&quot; alt=&quot;maxedout.png&quot; /&gt; &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;Let&amp;#8217;s dive into some examples!&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;The following fairly anodyne program took 3 minutes to generate. So you can see, that is a lot of processing power. Though maybe less processing power than my meat brain would require.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;quoteblock&quot;&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;content&quot;&gt;</description></item>
<item><title>Trial By Fire</title><link>http://xed.ch/blog/2026/0413.html</link><guid>http://xed.ch/blog/2026/0413.html</guid><pubDate>Mon, 13 Apr 2026 19:33 EDT</pubDate><description>&lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;Here is what the top of my chimney looked like when it was brand new just after &lt;a href=&quot;https://xed.ch/b/2025/1030.html&quot;&gt;I installed it&lt;/a&gt; last fall.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span class=&quot;image&quot;&gt; &lt;img src=&quot;http://xed.ch/blog/2026/i/0413-1e45-chimney-before.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;chimney-before.jpg&quot; /&gt; &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;And here is what it looked like after just one use.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span class=&quot;image&quot;&gt; &lt;img src=&quot;http://xed.ch/blog/2026/i/0413-8d46-chimney-after.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;chimney-after.jpg&quot; /&gt; &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;How is that possible? Well, the new wood stove was lit with a single spark on 2025-10-24. That fire burned uninterrupted for 171 days (= 5 months and 20 days) until last night when I finally let it burn out completely. I&amp;#8217;m still using it, but now I will just let it go out at night and relight it in the mornings.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;I am extremely pleased that the chimney did not collapse during the several &lt;a href=&quot;https://xed.ch/b/2025/1230.html&quot;&gt;blizzards&lt;/a&gt; with 50mph+ winds and sudden feet of snow. I was pretty sure that my design would not fail but during many nights of high winds I was mentally preparing for a huge chunk of the house to detach.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;Just feeding this thing dozens of trees over the last half a year has been a huge project. Hell, just clearing snow off of the wood every day was almost a full time job.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;One thing we didn&amp;#8217;t have to feed was the propane tank. Last winter we filled it three times; this year zero. We last filled it in September and will get at least another month out of it. Probably a good time to stop using that commodity anyway.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;I wish I could say that it was cozy and comfortable in the house all winter, but it was not. It was often quite cold and harsh. What I can say is that it was infinitely &lt;em&gt;more&lt;/em&gt; cozy and comfortable than it was the previous year without the stove.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span class=&quot;image&quot;&gt; &lt;img src=&quot;http://xed.ch/blog/2026/i/0413-e37d-chimney.jpg&quot; alt=&quot;chimney.jpg&quot; /&gt; &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</description></item>
<item><title>Von Neumann Prompts</title><link>http://xed.ch/blog/2026/0328.html</link><guid>http://xed.ch/blog/2026/0328.html</guid><pubDate>Sat, 28 Mar 2026 08:15 EDT</pubDate><description>&lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;Ever since we got computers to whisper sweet nothings to us, LLMs have turned the sinusoidal hype cycle hill into a hype mesa where maximum hype is going to gobble up all VC money for the foreseeable future. Which is fine. Those nothings are sweet!&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;But when I sit back and watch the Silicon Valley frenzy to use AI to move up the org chart from feudal lord to god emperor, I sometimes wonder if we&amp;#8217;re forgetting fundamentals.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;Bruce Schneier is one of the world&amp;#8217;s most respected security experts and I&amp;#8217;ve read &lt;a href=&quot;https://www.schneier.com/&quot;&gt;his blog&lt;/a&gt; for decades now. I was just reading an article he contributed to called &lt;a href=&quot;https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/the-promptware-kill-chain&quot;&gt;The Promptware Kill Chain&lt;/a&gt; and it is mostly sensible stuff.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;However, this jumped out at me.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;quoteblock&quot;&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;content&quot;&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;The fundamental issue lies in the architecture of LLMs themselves. Unlike traditional computing systems that &lt;strong&gt;strictly separate executable code from user data&lt;/strong&gt;, LLMs process all input—whether it is a system command, a user’s email, or a retrieved document—as a single, undifferentiated sequence of tokens. There is no architectural boundary to enforce a distinction between trusted instructions and untrusted data. Consequently, a malicious instruction embedded in a seemingly harmless document is processed with the same authority as a system command.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;attribution&quot;&gt; &lt;/div&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;For the 25 years I&amp;#8217;ve been a qualified computer security scapegoat, the main threat in &quot;traditional computing systems&quot; has been exactly that strictly separating executable code from user data is fucking hard!&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;To me, the most salient property of a &lt;a href=&quot;https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Von_Neumann_architecture&quot;&gt;Von Neumann architecture&lt;/a&gt; is:&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Memory that stores data &lt;em&gt;and&lt;/em&gt; instructions&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;What kind of common practical computing device uses a Von Neumann architecture? All of them!&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;The OG computer security exploit is surely the &lt;a href=&quot;https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Buffer_overflow#Exploitation&quot;&gt;buffer overflow&lt;/a&gt; writing &quot;data&quot; into &lt;em&gt;executable&lt;/em&gt; memory. This most excellent feature is one of the primary reasons people are afraid of programming in C.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;One of the most famous XKCD comics of all time is &lt;a href=&quot;https://xkcd.com/327/&quot;&gt;this illustration of the concept&lt;/a&gt; manifesting in SQL.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;span class=&quot;image&quot;&gt; &lt;img src=&quot;https://imgs.xkcd.com/comics/exploits_of_a_mom.png&quot; alt=&quot;XKCD 327&quot; /&gt; &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;How are the authors of this article about LLMs making a contrast when the similarity is so fundamental?&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;Oh well, what do I know? Let&amp;#8217;s leave it to the &quot;experts&quot;. For now, feel free to have fun with prompt injections, which it appears will plague LLM development for the foreseeable future.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</description></item>
<item><title>Spring Skate Skiing On Wild Snow</title><link>http://xed.ch/blog/2026/0325.html</link><guid>http://xed.ch/blog/2026/0325.html</guid><pubDate>Wed, 25 Mar 2026 19:52 EDT</pubDate><description>&lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;When you have a proper winter (i.e. snow is on the ground for more than three weeks leading to a spring thaw) it is common for some of the best skiing to come at the tail end of it. The reason is that at the beginning, the snow is light and fluffy and possibly deep. Skiing &lt;em&gt;through&lt;/em&gt; that can be quite a hard slog. However, after some &lt;a href=&quot;https://xed.ch/b/2025/0324.html&quot;&gt;maple syrup weather&lt;/a&gt; (i.e. below freezing at night and above during the day), snow on the ground starts to change. It settles and compacts as the sharp edges of the crystals are replaced with smoother melt water re-ice holding things together. At some point it may become possible to ski &lt;em&gt;on top&lt;/em&gt; of the snow.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;Here in the central UP we are finally arriving at that point. This has been such a crazy year with not only a lot of snow falling out of the sky but with also the more important snow related weather that I always stress is essential for a proper winter: cold temperatures. We&amp;#8217;ve had &lt;em&gt;meters&lt;/em&gt; of snow and more importantly for what&amp;#8217;s on the ground, very little above freezing air temperatures the entire winter. But in the last week we&amp;#8217;ve been getting some warm sunny afternoons and finally the snow is starting to get baked down into something usable.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;Yesterday I tried to take some video of me exploring it but it&amp;#8217;s harder to get acceptable video than it is to ski 10km. Apparently. Today I had another go at it and this time I think I have a video that shows quite a bit about how the landscape is here and what our winter has been like.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;During these rare days, my ability to get around the forest with this kind of snow present is unmatched. To see what that looks like and really what my winter has been like generally, check it out.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;iframe width=&quot;960&quot; height=&quot;720&quot; src=&quot;https://www.youtube.com/embed/n1aRIy_NOWA&quot; frameborder=&quot;0&quot; allow=&quot;autoplay; encrypted-media&quot; allowfullscreen&gt;&lt;/iframe&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;I&amp;#8217;m still working out how to film this stuff and it&amp;#8217;s not easy. Today I learned that my mission of scouting out trails was a bad one to film because I was looking around a lot. If you think minutes 25 to 36 will make you motion sick&amp;#8201;&amp;#8212;&amp;#8201;like they did to me&amp;#8201;&amp;#8212;&amp;#8201;sorry about that. Just skip that part. But where I&amp;#8217;m actually moving on clear snow it should be fine. The Gopro stabilization is actually pretty impressive.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</description></item>
<item><title>Purely Human Thoughts About Our Robot Friends</title><link>http://xed.ch/blog/2026/0308.html</link><guid>http://xed.ch/blog/2026/0308.html</guid><pubDate>Sun, 08 Mar 2026 21:46 EDT</pubDate><description>&lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;Today I read &lt;a href=&quot;https://www.darioamodei.com/essay/the-adolescence-of-technology&quot;&gt;an essay by Dario Amodei&lt;/a&gt;, the co-founder and chief shaman at Anthropic, the company behind the robot friend, &lt;a href=&quot;https://claude.ai/&quot;&gt;Claude&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https://www.darioamodei.com/essay/the-adolescence-of-technology&quot;&gt;The Adolescence of Technology: Confronting and Overcoming the Risks of Powerful AI&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;In this essay, he covers a lot and tries to thread the needle between personally having $7 billion and talking to normal humans like he&amp;#8217;s a normal human too. He&amp;#8217;s mostly wants to tell us how he hopes his company is not &lt;em&gt;intentionally&lt;/em&gt; eschatological&amp;#8201;&amp;#8212;&amp;#8201;they&amp;#8217;re not trying to end humanity! Heavens no!&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;I am actually not really much of an AI doomer and I don&amp;#8217;t really care as much about the obliteration of Nerddom as one might suppose. But that doesn&amp;#8217;t mean muddled thinking escapes my attention. Instead of writing a coherent tight response to this article, it was more fun for me to go do something else and just leave you with my own collection of muddled thinking&amp;#8201;&amp;#8212;&amp;#8201;notes I took while reading this essay. Enjoy!&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;hr&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;His essay is crazy long! 21.7k words&amp;#8201;&amp;#8212;&amp;#8201;10x longer than this (too long) post. Bro, does that even fit in &lt;a href=&quot;https://medium.com/@tahirbalarabe2/what-is-llms-context-window-understanding-and-working-with-the-context-window-641b6d4f811f&quot;&gt;context&lt;/a&gt;?&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;hr&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&quot;Humanity is about to be handed almost unimaginable power&amp;#8230;&quot;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;I think that horse left the barn with industrial power. And literacy. And &lt;a href=&quot;https://xed.ch/b/2026/0211.html&quot;&gt;torture&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;hr&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;He defines &quot;powerful AI&quot; with (many things including this):&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&quot;In terms of pure intelligence, it is smarter than a Nobel Prize winner across most relevant fields: biology, programming, math, engineering, writing, etc. This means it can prove unsolved mathematical theorems, write extremely good novels, write difficult codebases from scratch, etc.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;I am not Nobel-prize-winner-smarter than normal people but the fact that I have tons of successful experience in biology, programming, engineering, writing, etc. shows that if this stuff were important, my life would be more important. But I can assure you, nobody (statistically) gives a fuck about these things in real human interactions.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;It says later:&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&quot;Everyone having a superintelligent genius in their pocket is an amazing advance and will lead to an incredible creation of economic value and improvement in the quality of human life.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;And I&amp;#8217;m sorry, as someone who has enjoyed the benefits of slightly elevated literacy and STEM nerdery I think the author is over aggrandizing these traits more than normal humans would. Consider that the industrial, scientific, and computer revolutions have been driven by a modest percentage of humans doing actual nerd work. Scaling nerdery does not necessarily scale quality of life. The large growth in the percentage of college education in my lifetime has not had commensurate beneficial effects. Keeps people out of trouble I guess.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;hr&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&quot;[Fancy AI]&amp;#8230;would have a fairly good shot at taking over the world (either militarily or in terms of influence and control) and imposing &lt;strong&gt;its will&lt;/strong&gt; on everyone else&amp;#8230;&quot;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;My fellow humans, the interesting thing about AI is that it has no &lt;em&gt;will&lt;/em&gt;. &quot;Imposing its will&quot; is like imagining my toaster imposing its will on my toast or my table saw imposing its will on a sheet of plywood. The &lt;em&gt;illusion&lt;/em&gt; that AI has a will is really it bumbling around the artifacts left in the wake of humans having a will that they, the humans, were trying to impose. If a parrot says, &quot;I want to impose my will on you,&quot; it is still a parrot&amp;#8217;s will and that utterance&amp;#8217;s message was not part of it.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&quot;We now know that [fancy AI is] a process where many things can go wrong.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;I agree with this but it&amp;#8217;s in the same way that a toaster can electricute you if you if you drop it in a sink full of water or a table saw can cut off fingers. It is a distraction to imagine the AI cleverly scheming to get &quot;what it wants&quot;&amp;#8201;&amp;#8212;&amp;#8201;it doesn&amp;#8217;t &lt;em&gt;want&lt;/em&gt; anything!&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;It is a bit unnerving that keeping this in mind is not a disciplined habit for the CEO of a big company responsible for keeping one of the major bots under control.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;I&amp;#8217;m reminded of people who misunderstand evolution who often speak of what evolution &quot;wants&quot; or &quot;the goal of evolution&quot;. Wrong!&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;hr&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;All of this reminds me of old timey science fiction. Even the subtitles &quot;I&amp;#8217;m sorry, Dave&quot; and &lt;a href=&quot;https://xed.ch/b/2016/1126.html&quot;&gt;&quot;Player Piano&quot;&lt;/a&gt; allude to it. I&amp;#8217;m not the only one pushing back on this sci-fi credulity. These brilliant Kiwi philosophers had all this figured out at least 16 years ago: &lt;a href=&quot;https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0BcFHvEpP7A&quot;&gt;&quot;Finally robotic beings rule the world.&quot;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;iframe width=&quot;640&quot; height=&quot;480&quot; src=&quot;https://www.youtube.com/embed/0BcFHvEpP7A&quot; frameborder=&quot;0&quot; allow=&quot;autoplay; encrypted-media&quot; allowfullscreen&gt;&lt;/iframe&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;hr&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&quot;&amp;#8230;[fancy AIs] could conclude that they are playing a video game and that the goal of the video game is to defeat all other players (i.e., exterminate humanity).&quot;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;Finally! Someone getting close to realizing where true AI progress and threats can be measured: &lt;a href=&quot;https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Non-player_character&quot;&gt;NPCs&lt;/a&gt; who still are not even close to convincing! Seriously, NPCs have guns (all of the guns!) and are doing their level best to kill me. Show me a good NPC and I will start worrying. Seriously, when AI starts hollowing out PvP lobbies, &lt;em&gt;that&lt;/em&gt; is a metric you can use to chart the apocalypse.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;hr&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&quot;But I agree that a lot of very weird and unpredictable things can go wrong&amp;#8230;&quot;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;True enough. Something tells me that him not being wealthier than the entire population of, say Dayton Ohio, is not one of those unpredictable things he is worried about. You may object to me carping about this dude&amp;#8217;s pathological wealth but to me that is exactly one of those weird and unpredictable things that can go wrong and &lt;em&gt;already has&lt;/em&gt;. The failure mode is not hard to &lt;em&gt;predict&lt;/em&gt;&amp;#8201;&amp;#8212;&amp;#8201;we&amp;#8217;re living it!&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;hr&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&quot;I suspect the situation is not unlike with humans, who are raised with a set of fundamental values (“Don’t harm another person”): many of them follow those values, but in any human there is some probability that something goes wrong, due to a mixture of inherent properties such as brain architecture (e.g., psychopaths), traumatic experiences or mistreatment, unhealthy grievances or obsessions, or a bad environment or incentives&amp;#8201;&amp;#8212;&amp;#8201;and thus some fraction of humans cause severe harm. The concern is that there is some risk (far from a certainty, but some risk) that AI becomes a much more powerful version of such a person, due to getting something wrong about its very complex training process.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;I have an important objection to this line of thinking. One of the key concepts that enables the whole parlor trick of Turing Test passing bots is that they are trained on an absolutely enormous corpus of human culture. This means we should not worry so much about some particular pathological human wierdos but rather we should worry about the general global human. A psycho killer may be a valuable boogie man that 99.99999% of humanity can use as a foil to calibrate disgust.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;Sometimes you meet a person who is quirky. They have a weird sense of humor or they created some esoteric programming language or they&amp;#8217;re several sigmas out there in their enjoyment of skiing or something like that. That is not what AI does. Left unspecified, its natural style is best described as &quot;generic human&quot;. Are generic humans slightly racist bumptious dipshits? Sure, but they&amp;#8217;re not &lt;em&gt;generally&lt;/em&gt; genocidal monsters.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;hr&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;AI is like a wig. Might look like really impressive hair. Might be great for some special circumstances like a Commonwealth courtroom or a porn shoot or especially those two combined. But it&amp;#8217;s not real hair. And analogously, if you encourage &quot;Claude to think of itself as a particular type of person (an ethical but balanced and thoughtful person), and even encourage&amp;#8230; Claude to confront the existential questions associated with its own existence in a curious but graceful manner,&quot; well, you may get the &lt;em&gt;appearance&lt;/em&gt; of those things but you won&amp;#8217;t get those things any more than a toupee gives you real hair. Could be enough for most situations, but it&amp;#8217;s just important to keep in mind what we&amp;#8217;re really dealing with here.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;hr&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&quot;We believe that a feasible goal for 2026 is to train Claude in such a way that it almost never goes against the spirit of its constitution.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;Good luck with that. Red team says: hold my beer.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;Later he correctly says, &quot;But all models can be jailbroken&amp;#8230;&quot;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;hr&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;He uses the phrase &quot;rapid efforts&quot;&amp;#8201;&amp;#8212;&amp;#8201;what an odd thing to say! As an athlete I&amp;#8217;ve done &lt;em&gt;hard&lt;/em&gt; efforts for achieving rapid &lt;em&gt;speeds&lt;/em&gt; but a &quot;rapid effort&quot; could almost sound like an effort that is over quickly and therefore easier than, say, a &quot;&lt;em&gt;prolonged&lt;/em&gt; effort&quot;. Just an odd choice of words. Did no robot friends check his essay? (Bet you wish one checked this post!)&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;hr&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;The whole big company AI thing is a little boring to me. It&amp;#8217;s like worrying about what new sandwich McDonald&amp;#8217;s is developing. Should the government make laws that limit the amount of poison that can be put in the sandwich? I know a McDonald&amp;#8217;s sandwich will be eaten by a lot of people but I also know I won&amp;#8217;t be one of them. Wake me up when I can make my own sandwich. &lt;a href=&quot;https://xed.ch/b/2024/0713.html&quot;&gt;Here is my post on &lt;em&gt;locally hosted&lt;/em&gt; LLM research.&lt;/a&gt;. Seriously folks, nothing wholesome will happen until this technology is controlled by real people and not billionaires. And if you think that (non-billionaire) you control this technology now, then that&amp;#8217;s probably the scariest AI related error you should be working on.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;hr&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;What&amp;#8217;s my doom scenario? Whenever I talk to a robot friend and it looks something up on the internet, I feel a sense of dread. Not that the world will end because of Skynet AI risk, but because it is conclusive proof that the www is now even more fucked up than it was before. The &lt;em&gt;public&lt;/em&gt; aspect of my web pages has been an utter failure through no fault of mine. (My website is still useful to &lt;em&gt;me&lt;/em&gt;.) Erosion of the conceptual underpinnings of the www has taken its toll. Is the www&amp;#8217;s entire shaky foundation ready to fold completely? People burned the Library of Alexandria too. These things happen.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;hr&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;He seems to be worried about &quot;disturbed loners&quot;, especially those of us with leet STEM skillz. I hope he&amp;#8217;s thinking about the non-loners who are also going to be more disturbed (than me) once they don&amp;#8217;t have an income. I think I&amp;#8217;m dealing with it pretty well!&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;hr&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;I find his whole discussion about molecular biology (leading to bioterrorism) as typical outsider cluelessness. Having worked in the trenches of real molecular biology battles, the real world in biotech is very different than the impression a Michael Chricton novel imparts. Remember that our recent Plague was so devastating mostly from a lack of the most basic industrial engineering fundamentals (&lt;a href=&quot;https://www.mercatus.org/macro-musings/alex-tabarrok-covid-19-response-efforts-proposals-continued-recovery-and-lessons&quot;&gt;e.g.&lt;/a&gt;). To say, &quot;&amp;#8230;mRNA vaccines which can be designed to respond to a particular virus or variant&amp;#8230;&quot; is fatuous. Can not an attenuated virus vaccine do the same? Perhaps model your answer on the vaccine that tamed the &lt;a href=&quot;https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1957%E2%80%931958_influenza_pandemic&quot;&gt;1958 flu outbreak&lt;/a&gt;&amp;#8201;&amp;#8212;&amp;#8201;a vaccine that was developed &lt;em&gt;quicker&lt;/em&gt; than Moderna&amp;#8217;s mRNA C19 vaccine.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;hr&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;He goes on to say, &quot;The reason I haven’t focused on cyber as much as biology is that (1) cyberattacks are much less likely to kill people, certainly not at the scale of biological attacks, and (2) the offense-defense balance may be more tractable in cyber&amp;#8230;&quot;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;Okie dokie. If you use a clever AI attack to convince a bunch of people to go and murder all their neighbors, well, that tends to be &lt;a href=&quot;https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rwandan_genocide&quot;&gt;very nasty&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;Although he admits there are other dangers, he says, &quot;&amp;#8230;biology is currently the most serious vector of attack,&amp;#8230;&quot; To which I say, go ahead and use that magical AI to improve my health one tiny bit and then I&amp;#8217;ll think about taking bioterrorism claims more seriously than having my fashy neighbors lynch me for my heretical views on the &lt;a href=&quot;https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pauline_epistles#Authenticity&quot;&gt;pseudoepigraphical nature of the PR materials of a famous Turkish wellness guru&lt;/a&gt;. That&amp;#8217;s a &lt;em&gt;real&lt;/em&gt; threat that I actually must worry about.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;hr&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;He has a whole paragraph on how AI companies are themselves a risky entity, and it is good he sees the irony. As he pointed out that AI companies could subtly brainwash their user base, I was wondering if this article might have been written by an AI trying to brainwash us. It is by the article&amp;#8217;s own logic that this kind of article is the most likey vector of such an attack at this time.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;hr&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&quot;The world needs to understand the dark potential of powerful AI in the hands of autocrats, and to recognize that certain uses of AI amount to an attempt to permanently steal their freedom and impose a totalitarian state from which they can’t escape. I would even argue that in some cases, large-scale surveillance with powerful AI, mass propaganda with powerful AI, and certain types of offensive uses of fully autonomous weapons should be considered crimes against humanity.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;This is true enough. But does he not see that he is the autocrat here? I&amp;#8217;m sure he does.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;hr&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&quot;This could also lead to a world of “geographic inequality,” where an increasing fraction of the world’s wealth is concentrated in Silicon Valley, which becomes its own economy running at a different speed than the rest of the world and leaving it behind.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;Dude, this happened 20 years ago. Blame Steve Jobs specifically. This guy needs to read my post &lt;a href=&quot;https://xed.ch/b/2023/0604.html&quot;&gt;Companies Repudiating Their Own Worthless Products&lt;/a&gt;. And it is geniuses like this who are dreaming up definitions to the I in AI.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;hr&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;He keeps talking about the need to prevent autocracy. Do billionaires not watch any news? Maybe he can&amp;#8217;t imagine it from the perspective of a little person who is &lt;em&gt;not&lt;/em&gt; a billionaire.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;The working title of this post was: &lt;strong&gt;A Memo From A Liege Lord To His Serfs&lt;/strong&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;hr&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&quot;&amp;#8230;companies should think about how to take care of their employees.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;Lol. He forgot to add, &quot;&amp;#8230;if they are shareholders to whom they have a fiduciary duty.&quot; Where does this guy think he is? The 1950s?&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;hr&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&quot;&amp;#8230;while all the above private actions can be helpful, ultimately a macroeconomic problem this large will require government intervention.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;What he meant to say instead of &quot;government intervention&quot; is &quot;guillotines&quot;.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;hr&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&quot;We simply need to break the link between the generation of economic value and self-worth and meaning.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;Ya, good luck with that. Even the world&amp;#8217;s leading practitioners at doing just this (ahem) are not going to get through to normal people until it is way too late. And those of us who have severed the tie are still in danger of starving.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;hr&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;Mighty big of him to be stepping in to make decisions about how to downsize enterprise salarymen. Cool. If I had a small cadre of geniuses at my disposal (Anthropic&amp;#8217;s headcount of 2500 should be plenty), my goal would be to use them to create a fully &lt;em&gt;open source&lt;/em&gt; AI system and put Anthropic out of business. Or, won&amp;#8217;t that be possible? I may be a knucklehead but your bots are geniuses, right?&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;paragraph&quot;&gt;&lt;p&gt;Your move, Dario.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</description></item>
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